Baccarat Strategy

How to Win at Baccarat

Baccarat is one of the lowest-edge casino games in the world — if you stick to a single rule. This guide covers the maths, the myths and how to play sensibly in 2026.

Always bet Banker

Banker wins slightly more than half of all decided hands. Even after 5% commission, it's the mathematically best bet on the table.

Never bet Tie

Tie has a house edge of around 14% depending on payout. It's the worst bet in the room.

Slow the game down

Play live-dealer baccarat rather than RNG. Fewer hands per hour = less exposure to the house edge over the same session.

Bankroll rules

  • Session bankroll: 20+ base bets.
  • Stop-loss: 10 base bets.
  • Never chase with progressions.

Ignore the scoreboard

Those roads and pattern boards are meaningless. Each shoe is independent — patterns are a cognitive illusion.

Frequently asked questions

What's the best bet in baccarat?
Banker. The house edge is 1.06% vs 1.24% on Player and around 14% on Tie. Always pay the 5% commission and bet Banker.
Do baccarat systems like Martingale work?
No. Every hand is independent, so progressions only shift when you lose — not whether you lose. Table limits and bankroll caps guarantee that Martingale eventually busts.
Is card counting possible in baccarat?
Mathematically yes, practically no. The theoretical edge from tracking shoes is tiny (fractions of a percent) and only appears at the very end of a shoe.
Live-dealer or RNG baccarat?
Live-dealer is better: slower pace protects your bankroll, and the shoe is real. RNG baccarat plays 300+ hands per hour which magnifies variance.

18+ only. Gambling can be addictive — please play responsibly. UK visitors: BeGambleAware.org.